Important availability notice: EdgeFlow memberships are not available to Australian residents or persons located in Australia. EdgeFlow is not accepting Australian customers at this time.
Risk

Returns Get Attention. Risk Determines Survival.

EdgeFlow considers risk at three levels.

  1. 01
    Trade

    Predefined exits and controlled position sizing.

  2. 02
    Strategy

    Robustness testing, parameter validation and appropriate exposure.

  3. 03
    Portfolio

    Diversification, correlation analysis and combined drawdown behaviour.

Floating Equity vs. Closed Balance

EdgeFlow discloses two drawdown figures because they answer different questions.

Primary Figure
5.21%
Max Relative Floating-Equity Drawdown

Includes unrealised losses on positions that are still open — the deepest the account actually dipped, live, at any point.

Secondary Figure
4.64%
Max Relative Closed-Balance Drawdown

Counts only realised profit and loss from closed trades. It will always read lower than floating drawdown for that reason — it is not the total picture on its own.

Reference Sizing

Every figure published on this site corresponds to a portfolio risk multiplier of 1.00 — EdgeFlow's reference sizing. Selecting a different multiplier changes profit and loss approximately, but not perfectly, in proportion to exposure. A higher multiplier does not simply scale the historical figures up — it changes the portfolio's risk behaviour.

Capital Suitability

Trade EdgeFlow only with capital you can afford to risk. Leverage magnifies both gains and losses, and actual losses may exceed any historical drawdown shown on this site — historical figures are not a ceiling on future risk.

Operational Risk

Automated execution depends on infrastructure the member is responsible for maintaining. Any of the following can cause real results to differ from research expectations:

  • VPS failure or downtime
  • MT5 terminal disconnection
  • Broker symbol or specification differences
  • Spreads, slippage and price gaps
  • Rejected orders
  • Software or licensing interruptions

Portfolio Concentration

Historical profit depended materially on gold — XAUUSD generated 66.97% of historical portfolio profit. Diversification across six instruments reduces dependence on any single market, but it does not eliminate it.

Diversification Is Risk Management

Diversification doesn't simply mean trading several instruments. Two strategies that lose money at exactly the same time may provide very little diversification.

EdgeFlow analyses when individual strategies make and lose money and how those return streams interact when combined.

The objective is to prevent any single trade, strategy or market from defining the portfolio.

Behavioural Expectations

The historical backtest included losing months, a multi-month losing streak, and extended periods with no net progress, followed by abrupt recovery. Expect the same shape of behaviour going forward — not this specific timing or these specific figures.

2 months
Longest Losing-Month Streak
111 days
Longest Closed-Balance Stagnation
19.6%
Of Months Were Negative
-2.26%
Worst Rolling 3 Months

What EdgeFlow Does Not Promise

  • No losing trades
  • No losing months
  • A fixed monthly return
  • A maximum future drawdown
  • Historical performance repeating itself
  • Profit without risk

EdgeFlow can show its research method, the behaviour of its historical simulated backtest and separately labelled live observations as they accumulate. None of these can establish a maximum future loss, a recovery period or a return that a user will receive.